23 Aug

Can commercial real estate experience another 1929?

Anything is possible; however, there are key differences between today’s economy and the economy of 1929 that make such a scenario improbable. Some of those differences are as follows:

  • The largest percentage of investors in today’s stock market are institutions as opposed to individuals, and the vast majority of these institutions are prohibited from buying stocks on margin.
  • Aside from social security, there are IRAs, Keoghs, 401Ks, and a host of other plans whereby people can set aside money for retirement. These monies are regularly committed to the stock market.
  • 2005 estimates indicate there are five times more people in the pre-retirement saver category (60%) than there are in the 65+ age category (12%). That means there are five times more people putting money in than taking it out.
  • Brokerage accounts are insured.
  • Savings accounts are insured.
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