23
Aug
Can commercial real estate experience another 1929?
Anything is possible; however, there are key differences between today’s economy and the economy of 1929 that make such a scenario improbable. Some of those differences are as follows:
- The largest percentage of investors in today’s stock market are institutions as opposed to individuals, and the vast majority of these institutions are prohibited from buying stocks on margin.
- Aside from social security, there are IRAs, Keoghs, 401Ks, and a host of other plans whereby people can set aside money for retirement. These monies are regularly committed to the stock market.
- 2005 estimates indicate there are five times more people in the pre-retirement saver category (60%) than there are in the 65+ age category (12%). That means there are five times more people putting money in than taking it out.
- Brokerage accounts are insured.
- Savings accounts are insured.

