30 Jun

Time to Change the Commercial Real Estate Business Model

Changing the Commercial Real Estate Business Model

On June 26th The General Motors Corporation (GM) common stock closed at approximately $11 per share. That’s the same price (adjusting for splits and dividends) that it closed on in December 1986, 22 years ago. GM has gone from being the largest market capitalized company in the Dow Jones Industrial Average to the smallest. What sound bites for the media. But the media missed the real story, which is in the why. NetGain believes GM has been the victim of some of the poorest management decisions in American history.

It is management’s responsibility to design a responsive business model, and then supervise the execution of that model. The post World War II era left GM in a strong financial condition combined with the largest and most productive factories anywhere. The world was in post war rubbles, leaving GM with a virtual monopoly on automobile production and sales. They built and sold record numbers of cars.

During the 1950s and 1960s, the rest of world started to rebuild itself. GM changed nothing and stayed the course with the same business model. The believed they could decide the design and quality, and the consumer would buy it. The company was not driven to relate to or respond to the consumer (their customers). The result of this static business model was that GM customers found other companies that were responsive to their desires, and started buying their cars from them. Honda and Toyota, which were non-existent in the 1950s and 1960s, now have market capitalizations of $124 and $149 billion respectively. GM’s market capitalization today is $6.4 billion.

During these same recent decades General Electric under Welch exploded in growth. Citicorp under Weil became a powerhouse. Apple under Jobs reinvented itself with huge profits. Each leader designed a responsive business model and successfully supervised it.

NetGain believes that the management mistakes of GM are an important wake-up call for the commercial real estate industry. The reasons behind GM’s failure are centered on the fact that management didn’t change their business model in the face of significant international business changes.

Today, the combinations of globalization, emerging countries, fanaticism, a technical revolution, energy demands, and energy costs are driving significant social and economic changes. America is changing from a manufacturing based economy to a service oriented economy, competing internationally, concerned about security, creating new industries while increasing mobility, and incurring higher energy costs. All of these changes cry for the investors of commercial real estate to take a fresh look at their business model.

In all business types, though certain characteristics may be different, the principles behind investment success are the same. The mistake too many commercial real estate investors make is that they don’t understand or believe income property is a business and has to be acquired and managed accordingly. The product of the income property business is square feet. The clients are the lessees, and the value today and tomorrow will be determined by the quantity and quality of the bottom line. GM’s mistake was a business model that didn’t relate to or respond to the consumer (their customers). Commercial real estate investors can’t afford to make that same mistake.

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5 Responses to “Time to Change the Commercial Real Estate Business Model”

  1. 1
    Professor X Says:

    The article started off nicely… but left me hanging. so what does that “fresh look at their business model” really suggest/mean? how is it that commercial RE investing changes much? in the focus of multifamily property… you have to focus on your location, employment / economics in the area, the trends, vacancies, competition, etc… nothing new there in evaluating worthiness of an investment (aside from the typical analysis of numbers)…but what “fresh look” should we investors be considering in light of globalization? multifam is still a local market… we have to focus on how our local market is affected in the big scheme of things, but it hardly matters what is going on in the global sense when you are looking at a multifam property to purchase, right?

    what am i missing here that you’re alluding to?

  2. 2
    NetGain Says:

    Thank you for your comments. A business model can be summarized by the enterprise’s profit-and-loss (P & L) statement. NetGain’s challenge to commercial real estate investors is to examine their current business model. Your focus is multihousing. The traditional business model for multihousing can be summarized as providing square feet to lessees for residential housing use with 95% of the revenue coming from a single source - rent. At the same time, the lessor has the advantage of proximity to provide discretionary and non-discretionary goods and services to their lessees. The size of the multihousing community and the creativeness of the lessor are the only limitations. To get started, the lessor needs to profile the building’s lessees and then through survey or data determine how, after paying their rent, the lessees spend the other approximately 70% of their gross income - then plan accordingly. NetGain intends to analyze and write what the future commercial real estate P & L will look like, and provide recommendations for sources of alternative income for commercial real estate.

  3. 3
    Pina Says:

    Thanks for the input. I believe the basics of investing in Commercial Real Estate is going to remain the same, however, with the changing market, necessary accomodations would be needed to be done, like in any other business. The concepts of cash flow and wealth management using the four basic questions ( when did the money go in, how much, when did it go out and how much ) would be applied. The economics/employment criteria for developing zones, market and area trends, would always apply. With the globalization and other factors like energy crisis, comes the question of what new systems need to be considered and incorporated in business model. e.g. using solar systems to generate power or go-green or utilizing global markets to leverage resources.

    This could be just a new business model!!!!
    Thanks, for reading!!!

  4. 4
    NetGain Says:

    You are ahead of us! Future content we are working on includes a major focus on incorporating green analysis and strategies into the real estate investment approach. Thank you for your words.

  5. 5
    Professor X Says:

    ok, I better understand your points.

    thank you for clarifying!

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